Recap How wrong was I on NQ. Instead of a clean FBO Monday, NQ rejected the setup by not breaking the Monday low and instead gap and breakout upside. Tagged Y+2. Held Y+1 as support and started the 200% absolute range expansion move. Closed the week at the week high and above Y+3.
Outlook This rally has the signature of blowoff top in the making. We cannot predict exactly where the blowoff top will end but we can tell 2 downside targets are now created waiting to be retested when the blowoff phase is over. One is B-0 and the other is B-1.
This week consolidation around B+1 is expected although I suspect more wild moves are coming. Daily reversal setup is necessary before we can participate on the downside.
We now know that moving average can be measured more effectively when average bar range is used as the yardstick. How do we utilitize this information?
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Nasdaq 100 Aug 05 to Aug 09 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
How wrong was I on NQ. Instead of a clean FBO Monday, NQ rejected the setup by not breaking the Monday low and instead gap and breakout upside. Tagged Y+2. Held Y+1 as support and started the 200% absolute range expansion move. Closed the week at the week high and above Y+3.
Outlook
This rally has the signature of blowoff top in the making. We cannot predict exactly where the blowoff top will end but we can tell 2 downside targets are now created waiting to be retested when the blowoff phase is over. One is B-0 and the other is B-1.
This week consolidation around B+1 is expected although I suspect more wild moves are coming. Daily reversal setup is necessary before we can participate on the downside.
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