Recap As predicted, Dow cannot hold Y-1 and flushed lower. Almost down to Y-2 when 50% absolute range capped the move and started a violent struggle to form a bottom. Closed the week below Y-1 and above midpoint.
Outlook Y-1 / B+1 resistance will be difficult to break even those bulls may have some wishful thinking that the zone will not hold this down. The moment NQ and ES lose their momentum by as early as Monday / Tuesday, Dow will move a lot lower.
To play the long side, be patient and wait for a daily level swing bottom formation first. This could take at least 2 weeks to form a good bottom.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Pullback consolidation play worked out. Y-0 target tagged. 50% range. Closed the week near Y-0 and below midpoint.
Outlook
A retest of Y+1 is possible but only if cable ...
ContentReviewEuro Decision TimeS&P New Year New ChallengesGold Main Upside Objective FulfilledBig Picture SummaryReviewEuro year 2018 low resistance retest right at the end of last year and still failed to clear ...
Dow 30 Aug 26 to Aug 30 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
As predicted, Dow cannot hold Y-1 and flushed lower. Almost down to Y-2 when 50% absolute range capped the move and started a violent struggle to form a bottom. Closed the week below Y-1 and above midpoint.
Outlook
Y-1 / B+1 resistance will be difficult to break even those bulls may have some wishful thinking that the zone will not hold this down. The moment NQ and ES lose their momentum by as early as Monday / Tuesday, Dow will move a lot lower.
To play the long side, be patient and wait for a daily level swing bottom formation first. This could take at least 2 weeks to form a good bottom.
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