Recap We just encountered one of the wildest week of the year. In the beginning of the week everything looks weak with Y-1 breached yet the gap down induced buying and created a strong move enough to start a short squeeze campaign to Y+2. Then Dow fell straight back down to below Y-0. By end of the week Dow ran back up all the way again. Closed the week above Y+1 and midpoint.
Outlook Outside week with close above Y+1. It is a strong close and implies a retest of B+1 is likely. The strong reaction at Y-1 told us some major short players have given up at Y-1. It was confirmed by the retest of Y-0 with another strong reaction to the upside.
Until B-1 is breached, on swing basis, shorts will be outnumbered and outpowered for a while.
Dow 30 Nov 11 to Nov 15 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
We just encountered one of the wildest week of the year. In the beginning of the week everything looks weak with Y-1 breached yet the gap down induced buying and created a strong move enough to start a short squeeze campaign to Y+2. Then Dow fell straight back down to below Y-0. By end of the week Dow ran back up all the way again. Closed the week above Y+1 and midpoint.
Outlook
Outside week with close above Y+1. It is a strong close and implies a retest of B+1 is likely. The strong reaction at Y-1 told us some major short players have given up at Y-1. It was confirmed by the retest of Y-0 with another strong reaction to the upside.
Until B-1 is breached, on swing basis, shorts will be outnumbered and outpowered for a while.
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