Recap As expected we got a consolidation but Y-0 was never touched. this indicated a lot more trapped shorts were still refusing to give up. That led to the 3rd stop run in 2nd half of the week. Closed the week near Y+1 and above midpoint.
Outlook A clear pocket is now in place visible on 4 hour. This pocket will be filled quickly if euro fails to push above B+1. Very similar to what happened last time back in 2013 where majority of the short positions had to be destroyed first before euro can go lower.
Daily setup of a break below B-2 with B-1 turning into resistance will provide the necessary fuel to go much lower.
For more information about this report please refer to the Market Bias Informant pageTrading day for Forex symbols start at around 5 pm ET depending on Daylight Saving Time schedule
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Completely nailed the swings on this one. First move down to Y-1 and below. FBO there gave us a run back up to Y+1. Consolidated since around Y+1. Closed ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
First half of the week playing out perfectly like a normal 50% range consolidation around Y-1. Then FOMC announcement changed everything. The upside breakout of the tight range gave ...
For more information about this report please refer to the Market Bias Informant pageTrading day for Forex symbols start at around 5 pm ET depending on Daylight Saving Time schedule
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Y-0 did not hold Aussie down. Gold surged in beginning of the week. Good enough excuses to pop Aussie to Y+2. After tagging Y+2 normal upside target, ...
EURUSD Mar 17 to Mar 21 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
As expected we got a consolidation but Y-0 was never touched. this indicated a lot more trapped shorts were still refusing to give up. That led to the 3rd stop run in 2nd half of the week. Closed the week near Y+1 and above midpoint.
Outlook
A clear pocket is now in place visible on 4 hour. This pocket will be filled quickly if euro fails to push above B+1. Very similar to what happened last time back in 2013 where majority of the short positions had to be destroyed first before euro can go lower.
Daily setup of a break below B-2 with B-1 turning into resistance will provide the necessary fuel to go much lower.
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