Recap As expected, the FBO mentioned last week gave us a drop back down to Y-0 and then Y-1. That turned Y-0 into strong resistance. Retest of Y-0 failed. ES simply collapsed straight down until 100% absolute range was reached. Closed the week below Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook Both upside and downside targets are “unsafe”. The way the last 2 swing bottoms on 30-minutes show that there is lack of tractions to hold the support zones. That means ES can easily violate B-1 and drop to B-2 and below.
Yet, the 2 open gaps above are asking to be filled. Should ES find an excuse to go above B-0, it will zone higher quickly to get them. This makes the environment best engaged thru day trading, not swing trading.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Euro moved back down to target mentioned last week. Bounced from there but failed to clear 1.13 / Y-0. Closed the week near Y-1 and below midpoint.
Outlook
Y-1 ...
S&P 500 Sep 29 to Oct 03 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
As expected, the FBO mentioned last week gave us a drop back down to Y-0 and then Y-1. That turned Y-0 into strong resistance. Retest of Y-0 failed. ES simply collapsed straight down until 100% absolute range was reached. Closed the week below Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook
Both upside and downside targets are “unsafe”. The way the last 2 swing bottoms on 30-minutes show that there is lack of tractions to hold the support zones. That means ES can easily violate B-1 and drop to B-2 and below.
Yet, the 2 open gaps above are asking to be filled. Should ES find an excuse to go above B-0, it will zone higher quickly to get them. This makes the environment best engaged thru day trading, not swing trading.
Share