1-2-3 buy off the previous low (the yellow zone) made a good run but failed to take out the previous week high, resulting in a quick snap back to the low of the week again. Classic 2-way test of the previous extremes as mentioned in STOPD.
Next week outlook
Both the weekly and monthly project has projected 50% downside expansion to the 79.50 area (red zone). This area is also the long term support area that has not been touched for many years. How USDJPY reacts at this zone will be critical.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
No test of either extreme in the beginning of the week, so the consolidation play of drifting around Y-0 kicked in. Then Fed chair Mrs Yellen changed the game. ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
The bearish expectation unfolded. Y-1 breached with Y-2 almost tagged. Bounced to Y-0 but failed to hold above Y-1. Closed the week below Y-1 and midpoint.
Outlook
As explained ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Unfolded completely as expected. Failed at Y+1 as resistance, sold off back down to 1100 area. Closed the week below Y-1.
Outlook
A retest of B-1 is expected but difficult ...
USDJPY Week of Nov 1 – 5 Outlook
Recap of past week
1-2-3 buy off the previous low (the yellow zone) made a good run but failed to take out the previous week high, resulting in a quick snap back to the low of the week again. Classic 2-way test of the previous extremes as mentioned in STOPD.
Next week outlook
Both the weekly and monthly project has projected 50% downside expansion to the 79.50 area (red zone). This area is also the long term support area that has not been touched for many years. How USDJPY reacts at this zone will be critical.
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