The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Jan 18 close.
Reading
1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) touch down at neutral zone and bounced off
2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) pulled back to neutral zone
3. 3 Days Advance Issues (green line) diverging from new high printed by S&P itself
Inference
a. #1 still in trend buy mode. That means selloffs continue to be buying opportunities. It is diverging significantly relative to the rise in S&P implying a long term top in the making.
b. #2 points to a bottom in the making. Since price never pulled back, it can either be a parabolic breakout to the upside, or, if price suddenly breaking lower, look for oversold setup for the swing long entry.
c. #3 points to a pullback in the making
Last update predicted both the pullback and the swing low is a dip to buy correctly
Review of Forecast for Jan 11, 2016
Monday did not produce a flush down of 2% thus the 2% upside was not in play. Custom breadth did not reverse, so we ...
Review of Forecast for Sep 7, 2015
Extreme swings expectations played out. 3% swing up and than 3% swing down fulfilled both upside and downside expectations. The breadth analog model did ...
Review of Forecast for Apr 13, 2015
All attempts to go higher last week are capped below the 1% boundary as forecasted last week. Forecast of strong downside risk was also ...
Review of Forecast for Sep 14, 2015
Another week with extreme swings of 3% up and then 3% down thanks to FOMC interest rate decision. The normal expectation of 1% upside ...
As the long term Tick16 index is staying in the bullish zone, and that the short term Tick16 has moved away from the long term index for some time already, ...
Many retail traders learned about the evil market making bots through mainstream media. Yet, they are not the ones that rule the game. Their nemesis, institution bots, are the ones ...
Classic approaches to the interpretation of market breadth data are mainly based on signal generation and recognition of outlier events. The reason for market participants to do that is obvious ...
Review of Forecast for May 30, 2016
Compression conditions in custom breadth continues. Attempts to breakout of the defined tight range all failed. Sudden reversals at the boundaries all week. ...
Review of Forecast for Feb 1, 2016
Potential swing top setup materialized. Limited upside and downside was correct based on the previous week boudnaries but the expected 1.5% limit was off. ...
Market Internals 2013-01-18
My monthly update on market internals.
The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Jan 18 close.
Reading
1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) touch down at neutral zone and bounced off
2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) pulled back to neutral zone
3. 3 Days Advance Issues (green line) diverging from new high printed by S&P itself
Inference
a. #1 still in trend buy mode. That means selloffs continue to be buying opportunities. It is diverging significantly relative to the rise in S&P implying a long term top in the making.
b. #2 points to a bottom in the making. Since price never pulled back, it can either be a parabolic breakout to the upside, or, if price suddenly breaking lower, look for oversold setup for the swing long entry.
c. #3 points to a pullback in the making
Last update predicted both the pullback and the swing low is a dip to buy correctly
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