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Emini S&P Battleplan May 24, 2016

2016 May 24 Tue 9:08:52 | by Lawrence

Overview

Emini overnight range 2041.25 up to 2058.00 (at 9:00 am)

Overnight Midpoint 2049.50

Previous Week Close 2049.00

Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap up.

 

Battleplan for the Day

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Review of Forecast for May 16, 2016


Trend sell week as expected. Initial push higher due to news shock immediately reversed course as breadth not supporting the move at all. End of week option expiration actions took S&P back up to previous week close. Dow reached the swing target zone mentioned in MBO Special Update. The breadth analog model did a good job for the week.

Forecast Starting May 23, 2016


Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the close of May 20, 2016:
  • Signs of custom market breadth catching up to the selling but nowhere near a selling climax
  • Down trend intact
  • MBO Special Update this week will focus on what to do next
  • Intraday volatility expansion likely going into coming 2 weeks

For timely update including real-time trading signals and analysis join us today.

Report Snapshot


custom_market_breadth_20160520

Short Explanation About The Model


My market breadth based analog model takes into account the short term volatility, daily market breadth readings and a few other intraday breadth data to identify the current market conditions. Using the information, the model then went through the historical data over the past 20 years to generate its statistical analysis. The model has been pretty good at identifying important swing tops and bottoms over the past few years by providing early warnings about potential volatility upticks.

For the technical explanation of the concept, you can read about it here, Market Breadth Primer: Market Breadth Analog Forecasting Method

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Emini S&P Battleplan May 20, 2016

2016 May 20 Fri 9:03:05 | by Lawrence

Overview

Emini overnight range 2035.75 up to 2047.50 (at 8:55 am)

Overnight Midpoint 2041.50

Previous Week Close 2042.25

Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap up.

 

Battleplan for the Day

(premium member only content below)

 The rest of the article is available to our premium members only.  Login or upgrade your membership to view this article now.

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2016 May 16
Emini S&P Battleplan May 16, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2035.00 up to 2049.25 (at 8:55 am) Overnight Midpoint 2042.00 Previous Week Close 2042.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap up.   Battleplan for the Day (premium m ...

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2016 May 15
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 16, 2016

Review of Forecast for May 9, 2016 Sideway tight range week as expected. Range bounded within 1.5% as expected. The breadth analog model did an excellent job for the week. Forecast Starting May 16, 2016 Summary of the S&P500 short-term ...

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2016 May 13
Emini S&P Battleplan May 13, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2046.25 up to 2061.00 (at 8:55 am) Overnight Midpoint 2053.50 Previous Day Close 2060.50 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap down.   Battleplan for the Day (premium ...

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2016 May 12
Emini S&P Battleplan May 12, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2057.50 up to 2072.75 (at 8:50 am) Overnight Midpoint 2065.00 Previous Day Close 2060.50 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap up.   Battleplan for the Day (premium me ...

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2016 May 9
Emini S&P Battleplan May 9, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2049.00 up to 2059.75 (at 8:55 am) Overnight Midpoint 2054.50 Previous Day Close 2052.00 Emini S&P is now trading at the bottom part of its range with a gap up.   Battleplan for the Day (premium ...

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2016 May 7
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 9, 2016

Review of Forecast for May 2, 2016 Sell-off week as expected. Initial rumor driver short squeeze made the drop of 2% from week high not enough to break the 1.5% down from previous week close level. Hence 2.5% down not materialized. Volatility pick ...

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2016 May 6
Emini S&P Battleplan May 6, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2037.25 up to 2046.25 (at 8:10 am) Overnight Midpoint 2041.75 Previous Day Close 2044.75 Emini S&P is now trading at the bottom part of its range with a gap down.   Battleplan for the Day (premi ...

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