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S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Feb 1, 2016
2016 Jan 30 Sat 14:36:44 | by
Review of Forecast for Jan 25, 2016
Continuation to the upside as expected. Pushed higher to the end of the week as projected. Upside limited to 1.5% to 2% as forecasted. The breadth analog model did a perfect job for the week.
Forecast Starting Feb 1, 2016
Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the close of Jan 29, 2016:
- Potential swing top in the making
- Both upside and downside potential limited around 1.5% for the week until NFP Friday
- NFP report on Friday may jump start a surge higher projected for the week after
- Volatility expansion again
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Report Snapshot
Short Explanation About The Model
My market breadth based analog model takes into account the short term volatility, daily market breadth readings and a few other intraday breadth data to identify the current market conditions. Using the information, the model then went through the historical data over the past 20 years to generate its statistical analysis. The model has been pretty good at identifying important swing tops and bottoms over the past few years by providing early warnings about potential volatility upticks.
For the technical explanation of the concept, you can read about it here, Market Breadth Primer: Market Breadth Analog Forecasting Method
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Emini S&P Battleplan Jan 29, 2016
2016 Jan 29 Fri 9:02:35 | by
Overview
Emini overnight range 1876.50 up to 1903.25
Overnight Midpoint 1890.00
Previous Day Mid 1887.25
Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap up.
Battleplan for the Day
(premium member only content below)
The rest of the article is available to our premium members only. Login or upgrade your membership to view this article now.Emini S&P Battleplan Jan 28, 2016
2016 Jan 28 Thu 9:01:22 | by
Overview
Emini overnight range 1866.25 up to 1895.75
Overnight Midpoint 1881.00
Previous Day Mid 1887.25
Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap up.
Battleplan for the Day
(premium member only content below)
The rest of the article is available to our premium members only. Login or upgrade your membership to view this article now.2016 Jan 27
Emini S&P Battleplan Jan 27, 2016
Overview Emini overnight range 1878.75 up to 1896.75 Overnight Midpoint 1887.75 Previous Day Mid 1887.00 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap down. Battleplan for the Day (premium member only con ...
Overview Emini overnight range 1878.75 up to 1896.75 Overnight Midpoint 1887.75 Previous Day Mid 1887.00 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap down. Battleplan for the Day (premium member only con ...
2016 Jan 26
Emini S&P Battleplan Jan 26, 2016
Overview Emini overnight range 1851.25 up to 1879.75 Overnight Midpoint 1865.50 Previous Week Mid 1853.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap up. Battleplan for the Day (premium member only cont ...
Overview Emini overnight range 1851.25 up to 1879.75 Overnight Midpoint 1865.50 Previous Week Mid 1853.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap up. Battleplan for the Day (premium member only cont ...
2016 Jan 25
Emini S&P Battleplan Jan 25, 2016
Overview Emini overnight range 1886.50 up to 1904.25 Overnight Midpoint 1895.50 Previous Week Mid 1853.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the bottom part of its range with a large gap down. Battleplan for the Day (premium membe ...
Overview Emini overnight range 1886.50 up to 1904.25 Overnight Midpoint 1895.50 Previous Week Mid 1853.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the bottom part of its range with a large gap down. Battleplan for the Day (premium membe ...
2016 Jan 23
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jan 25, 2016
Review of Forecast for Jan 18, 2016 Custom breadth extreme on Wednesday produced the expected rally back up to near the 3.5% projection. Premium members were told to watch out for the 100-point rally off that low in real-time. The breadth analog m ...
Review of Forecast for Jan 18, 2016 Custom breadth extreme on Wednesday produced the expected rally back up to near the 3.5% projection. Premium members were told to watch out for the 100-point rally off that low in real-time. The breadth analog m ...
2016 Jan 22
Emini S&P Battleplan Jan 22, 2016
Overview Emini overnight range 1855.75 up to 1892.00 Overnight Midpoint 1874.00 Current Week Mid 1896.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a large gap up. Battleplan for the Day (premium member only ...
Overview Emini overnight range 1855.75 up to 1892.00 Overnight Midpoint 1874.00 Current Week Mid 1896.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a large gap up. Battleplan for the Day (premium member only ...
2016 Jan 21
Emini S&P Battleplan Jan 21, 2016
Overview Emini overnight range 1836.25 up to 1876.00 Overnight Midpoint 1856.00 Current Week Mid 1850.00 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a small gap up. Battleplan for the Day (premium member only ...
Overview Emini overnight range 1836.25 up to 1876.00 Overnight Midpoint 1856.00 Current Week Mid 1850.00 Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a small gap up. Battleplan for the Day (premium member only ...
2016 Jan 20
Emini S&P Battleplan Jan 20, 2016
Overview Emini overnight range 1829.25 up to 1878.50 Overnight Midpoint 1854.00 Previous Week Low 1849.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the bottom part of its range with gap up of almost 30 points. Battleplan for the Day (pre ...
Overview Emini overnight range 1829.25 up to 1878.50 Overnight Midpoint 1854.00 Previous Week Low 1849.25 Emini S&P is now trading at the bottom part of its range with gap up of almost 30 points. Battleplan for the Day (pre ...