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It is great news that FXCM is going to offer reduce pip size as of Feb 28th, 2014!

Starting Feb 28th, the per pip profit/loss will be reduced to 1/10th of the size before. It can enable much more efficient position sizing for smaller accounts. Traders with limited capital can now trade these products without worrying that they are risking too much on a single position.

Things just get better in 2014.

2 comments


First Bitcoin Bank Run (Sort Of)

2014 Feb 7 Fri 14:02:37 | by Lawrence

First real major crisis in Bitcoin world finally emerged.

From the biggest Bitcoin exchange:

image

If it is not a bank run, I don't know what is.

The interesting question would be the response of Bitcoin prices and eventual resolution of this event.

As I mentioned before Bitcoin has to go through various crisis before it can mature into something that the public will accept (i.e. going mainstream).

This is one of the many tests it has to face.

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Market Internals 2014-01-23

2014 Jan 23 Thu 21:45:50 | by Lawrence

Monthly update on market internals.

The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2014 Jan 23 close.

image

 

Review

Short term bullish bias played out with S&P closing at year high by Dec 21, 2013.

3-Day Advance Issues breaking neutral zone decisively on 1st trading day of 2014 gave us a pullback to play with.

13th - 14th S&P spike low diverge against 3-Day Advance Issues higher low, gave us a another short term long and boom we have a new high for the year since.

 

Reading

1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) moving around neutral zone is neutral.

2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) moving around neutral zone is neutral.

3. 3-Day Advance Issues has a swing level divergence top over 3 weeks window. Bearish.

 

Inference

a. #1 and #2 combined into a strong compression breakout setup but no directional bias

b. #3 short term bearish until 3-Day Advance Issues reaching oversold level again

 

Long Term Outlook

Tick16 compression happened before historically quite a few times. There were no directional correlation with the setup but price movements intraday would often produce volatility greater than the daily level close to close changes on previous occurrences. It is a signature of market indecision.

Long term direction depends on a strong move in Tick16 out of the range which can last for months.

For now, focus on one to two day swings is more profitable.

 

Notes

I am working on a complete section in the website devoted to breadth analysis.

Once the new section goes beta, I will retire this monthly write up. I think the breadth reading I am providing now is not frequent enough to help everyone to understand the power of market breadth timing. By providing more information and explanation on market breadth based analysis techniques I know the new section will be useful for many traders.

Goal of the new section is to provide daily reports and charts of the custom breadth data on both US indices and forex markets. Once the daily updates are in place, it will be much easier to track the changes and utilize the information.

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2013 Dec 23
Market Internals 2013-12-23

Monthly update on market internals. The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Dec 23 close. Review Got the rally I was looking for since the last update. Once we got Short Term Tick16 reg ...

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2013 Dec 6
Hugh Hendry Turned Bullish Finally

ZeroHedge reported that Hugh Hendry has turned bullish, http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-12-06/hugh-hendry-throws-bearish-towel-his-full-must-read-letter It is nice to see Hugh finally see the possibility of what could be in store. Mentioned mul ...

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2013 Dec 4
Tax On All Forms Of Assets Coming?

I wrote about the possibility of asset tax coming to town in the 3rd instalment of my bartering series. Now, London is the first city to strike their foreign investors. Straight from Bloomberg, http://www.businessweek.com/news/2013-12-04/london-as ...

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2013 Nov 23
Market Internals 2013-11-22

Monthly update on market internals. The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Nov 22 close Review Tick16 breakout mode gave us breakout to the upside. First Tick16 short term overbought a ...

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2013 Nov 21
China Finally Discloses Its Petroyuan Intention

As I reported back in late September, China mentioned the potential of having an oil future exchange in the Free Trade Zone in Shanghai. Now it is a confirmed threat in competing against the US exchanges with the crude oil contracts potentially pric ...

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2013 Oct 22
Market Internals 2013-10-22

Monthly update on market internals. The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 October 22 close. Reading 1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) bearish 2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) in breako ...

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2013 Oct 20
Delayed NFP Report This Tuesday After Government Shutdown

Be ready for major messy price actions as US government is about to give us a completely confusing Non-Farm Payroll Report on October 22, 2013 this coming Tuesday. First, the data is likely to be a mess. Is it the original data collected as of the ...

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