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Market Internals 2013-04-19

2013 Apr 19 Fri 21:12:44 | by Lawrence

My monthly update on market internals.

The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 April 19 close.

Market Breadth April 19, 2013 DaytradingBias.com

 

Reading

1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) below neutral zone.

2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) moved into oversold zone.

3. 3 Days Advance Issues (green line) diverged from new low printed by S&P

 

Inference

a. #1 is bearish pointing to trend sell mode

b. #2 points to a bounce is due until the line is back to neutral zone

c. #3 strong new momentum low points to start of down trend, or as a minimum end of the current up trend. The divergence points to a potential short term bottom in the making.

 

Last update predicted a swing long was coming. I did not expect that turning into a major short squeeze / blow-off top off the double bottom in the 3-day advance issues.

The current selloff in progress now is different from the previous one as the strong new momentum low in 3-day advance issues usually points to significant down side risk. Thus counter-trend long should be taken with precaution that they may fail easily.

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Gold Reached First Downside Target

2013 Apr 15 Mon 17:09:56 | by Lawrence

Spike and ledge first target reached.

image

As long as the baseline of the spike and ledge acts as resistance, the next target below is in play.

One comment


Visit the main real-time charting site for Bitcoin just now and I got this.

 

image

 

It was unreachable earlier when Bitcoin was down 20%.

It is reportedly down 40% at this point.

It is always a bad thing for markets not being able to keep themselves open when people starts to panic.

It induces more panic selling.

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2013 Apr 7
Warning From Interactive Brokers

IB has gone full margin on JGB and all other related Japanese financial instruments. Here we go again. ...

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2013 Apr 2
Apple Getting A Buy Signal From Non Other Than GS

Taken off preferred list? http://news.yahoo.com/goldman-takes-apple-stock-off-preferred-list-190919393.html As we all know GS market calls are almost always oppose to what their prop desk does. And their prop desk has been contributing significantl ...

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2013 Mar 19
Market Internals 2013-03-19

My monthly update on market internals. The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 March 19 close. Reading 1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) below neutral zone but not dropping 2. Short Ter ...

One comment


2013 Mar 17
The Robbery Spree Has Begun. First Target, Cyprus

What happened in Cyprus is exactly the type of events I warned about and why money has to be parked in hard assets that are not exposed. If you do not know what is happening with Cyprus, this is a good Q&A from Guardian, http://www.guardian.co. ...

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2013 Feb 24
WTF With Moody and The Problem With Forex Stop Orders

Last Friday Moody downgraded Cable after US stock market closed which led to a melt down within minutes. Making the situation worse, it was the last hour of the week that many traders like me always close their positions during this last hour. One ha ...

2 comments


2013 Feb 20
Gold at Critical Price Level

Gold 8 hour chart below. At quarterly 50% expansion target, also lined up with monthly. For gold to stay bullish for the coming months, it is important that it stage a fight at this price level. ...

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2013 Feb 17
Market Internals 2013-02-17

My monthly update on market internals. The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Feb 17 close. Reading 1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) below neutral zone but not dropping 2. Short ...

No comment yet



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