Recap The rising wedge broke out to the upside and turned into an up channel. The upside breakout gave us Y+2 quickly. After fed announcement, Dow made a FBO above Y+2 and collapsed. Sold off all the way back down to fill the gap made last week. Closed the week near week low and below Y+1.
Outlook The selloff is very weak. It is more indecision and trapped late longs got cleaned out than a significant selloff so far. So the swing direction is pretty neutral.
If Y-0 / B-1 acts as support, we get a run back up to B-0 and likely a gap fill above.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Look at how Y-0 resistance depressing euro almost all week. End of week breakout cleared Y-0 finally. Closed the week above Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook
Inside week, close above ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
As mentioned last week, a bounce from Y-1 was expected but it failed to tag Y+1. Closed the week below midpoint and Y-0.
Outlook
B-2 is next downside target.
The less ...
Dow 30 Dec 17 to Dec 21 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
The rising wedge broke out to the upside and turned into an up channel. The upside breakout gave us Y+2 quickly. After fed announcement, Dow made a FBO above Y+2 and collapsed. Sold off all the way back down to fill the gap made last week. Closed the week near week low and below Y+1.
Outlook
The selloff is very weak. It is more indecision and trapped late longs got cleaned out than a significant selloff so far. So the swing direction is pretty neutral.
If Y-0 / B-1 acts as support, we get a run back up to B-0 and likely a gap fill above.
Otherwise, quick flush to B-2.
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