Recap Tricky week indeed. Dow opened above Y+1 invalidated the normal pullback scenario. Y+1 acting as support since and eventually led to end of week rally to close at month high. Closed the week above Y+1 and near B+1.
Outlook “Revenge reversal” is a common pattern for Dow. It usually results in 100% expansion of the initial spike reversal move. Since the spike move was made approximately from 16310 to 16510, the upside target should be 16710 area.
From here a consolidation or sharp pullback is likely. B-1 and B-2 are in play and should be tagged quickly this week or next.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Spike bottom happened before midweek yet failed to push above Y-0. Closed the week below Y-1 and midpoint.
Outlook
The first try to find a bottom failed. The week turned into ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Did not tag the upside target after the expected consolidation in the first half of the week (disappointed). Breaking below the week low in mid-week however gave us ...
Dow 30 Jun 02 to Jun 06 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Tricky week indeed. Dow opened above Y+1 invalidated the normal pullback scenario. Y+1 acting as support since and eventually led to end of week rally to close at month high. Closed the week above Y+1 and near B+1.
Outlook
“Revenge reversal” is a common pattern for Dow. It usually results in 100% expansion of the initial spike reversal move. Since the spike move was made approximately from 16310 to 16510, the upside target should be 16710 area.
From here a consolidation or sharp pullback is likely. B-1 and B-2 are in play and should be tagged quickly this week or next.
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