Recap Tricky week indeed. Dow opened above Y+1 invalidated the normal pullback scenario. Y+1 acting as support since and eventually led to end of week rally to close at month high. Closed the week above Y+1 and near B+1.
Outlook “Revenge reversal” is a common pattern for Dow. It usually results in 100% expansion of the initial spike reversal move. Since the spike move was made approximately from 16310 to 16510, the upside target should be 16710 area.
From here a consolidation or sharp pullback is likely. B-1 and B-2 are in play and should be tagged quickly this week or next.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
First test of Y-1 led to pullback to Y-0. Y-0 held very well and gave us Y+2. Then euro zone news shock sending the pair all the ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
The bounce to Y-0 scenario unfolded exactly as described last week. The wait and see part at Y-0 turns into the bearish setup of trading below Y-1, pointing ...
Dow 30 Jun 02 to Jun 06 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Tricky week indeed. Dow opened above Y+1 invalidated the normal pullback scenario. Y+1 acting as support since and eventually led to end of week rally to close at month high. Closed the week above Y+1 and near B+1.
Outlook
“Revenge reversal” is a common pattern for Dow. It usually results in 100% expansion of the initial spike reversal move. Since the spike move was made approximately from 16310 to 16510, the upside target should be 16710 area.
From here a consolidation or sharp pullback is likely. B-1 and B-2 are in play and should be tagged quickly this week or next.
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