Recap Dow rallied as expected towards 12200, but it stopped at 12150 when it reached 100% absolute range expansion and sold off since. Sell climax hit when Y-1 was tagged and bounced off. 50% of the down move turned into natural resistance. Closed the week below Y-0.
Outlook If B-1 is taken out early in the week, B-2 will be tagged.
But things are never this simple. A complex bottom here with B-1 acting as support can send Dow all the way back up to B-0 and higher to fill the gap above.
How price reacts to Y-0 will determine which way Dow will go next week.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Consolidation as expected. Developed the top 1/2 first then dropped down to near Y-1 for a test. Closed the week below Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook
Y-1 / B-1 support ...
Dow 30 Jun 27 to Jul 01 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Dow rallied as expected towards 12200, but it stopped at 12150 when it reached 100% absolute range expansion and sold off since. Sell climax hit when Y-1 was tagged and bounced off. 50% of the down move turned into natural resistance. Closed the week below Y-0.
Outlook
If B-1 is taken out early in the week, B-2 will be tagged.
But things are never this simple. A complex bottom here with B-1 acting as support can send Dow all the way back up to B-0 and higher to fill the gap above.
How price reacts to Y-0 will determine which way Dow will go next week.
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