Recap As mentioned last week, following the Non-Farm Payroll week bias worked out great. Dow bottomed out on Monday and not even pullback to Y-0. Then exploded to the upside and we got Y+2 before NFP Friday. Friday sold off in the morning but the drop was short lived. Closed the week near week high and Y+2.
Outlook The 2 trading days following NFP are usually weak, especially after such strong weekly close. It is reasonable to expect consolidation below B+1 and even a pullback to Y-0 is possible this week.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Pre-Brexit ramp up from Y+1 to normal breakout target of Y+3. Spike reversal from Y+3 gave us Y+1 and then Y-1. Closed the week near Y+1 and midpoint.
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Lawrence's Comment
Recap
The short squeeze scenario played out. The range expanded without any significant retracement. That is a bit surprising.
Outlook
Still no signs of accumulation and breadth is diverging from the ...
Dow 30 Mar 11 to Mar 15 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
As mentioned last week, following the Non-Farm Payroll week bias worked out great. Dow bottomed out on Monday and not even pullback to Y-0. Then exploded to the upside and we got Y+2 before NFP Friday. Friday sold off in the morning but the drop was short lived. Closed the week near week high and Y+2.
Outlook
The 2 trading days following NFP are usually weak, especially after such strong weekly close. It is reasonable to expect consolidation below B+1 and even a pullback to Y-0 is possible this week.
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