Recap Last week mentioned in S&P 500 commentary that both Y+1 and Y-1 may be tagged, and in Nasdaq 100 I called that double whiplash. We got exactly that. After challenging Y+1 and failed, Dow simply collapsed and gave us Y-3 with a pause at Y-2. Sometimes stock market indices are quite predictable. Closed the week near Y-3 and week low.
Outlook Time to bounce even it may be just a small one. Double Up model going long this week implies the classic option expiration up drift is about to start. B-0 is the upside target.
If news shock happens, there is no support in Dow until Y-5 / B-2 is tagged. So do not pick bottom easily after news shock flushed Dow below B-1.
Mid-day Update: Have not posted the channel chart for a while since last week we were dealing with clash of the bulls and bears on higher timeframes. Last time ...
Dow 30 Nov 12 to Nov 16 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Last week mentioned in S&P 500 commentary that both Y+1 and Y-1 may be tagged, and in Nasdaq 100 I called that double whiplash. We got exactly that. After challenging Y+1 and failed, Dow simply collapsed and gave us Y-3 with a pause at Y-2. Sometimes stock market indices are quite predictable. Closed the week near Y-3 and week low.
Outlook
Time to bounce even it may be just a small one. Double Up model going long this week implies the classic option expiration up drift is about to start. B-0 is the upside target.
If news shock happens, there is no support in Dow until Y-5 / B-2 is tagged. So do not pick bottom easily after news shock flushed Dow below B-1.
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