Recap The expected bearish scenario unfolded. Dow failed to hold Y-1 and then dropped in a waterfall pattern clearing Y-2 and Y-3 in 1 go. The drop unleashed some panic selling but option expiration saved the week. Closed below Y-1 and above midpoint.
Outlook Island reversals do not work well in general. Dow will have to somehow take care of the gap below to prove its strength before it can go higher. Y-1 / B-1 very strong resistance.
Given the current volatility level, it will not be a suprise that Dow will drop all the way back down to Y-3 / B-1 zone before deciding what to do next.
Recap
Rallied a bit stronger than expected in beginning of the week. Still sold off to target B-1 area. Closed the week below previous week close.
Outlook
Weaknesses in internals is very ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Cable held the breakout level nicely and rallied to retest Y+1 as expected. Once Y+1 was tagged cable went into consolidation. Closed the week at Y+1 and above midpoint.
Outlook
Potential ...
Option expiration week Tuesday is different from regular Tuesday. Regular Tuesday does not produce noticeable bias throughout the history of Emini S&P. Option expiration Tuesdays, however, has very strong statistical ...
Recap of last week Pullback as expected. Reacted wildly between 1.61 and 1.60. It is a fight to continue the expansion to the upside - 1.60 is the previous ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Started the week testing Y-0 from below and failed to push higher. That gave us a drop to Y-1. FBO at Y-1 sent ninja higher. Found resistance at the ...
Dow 30 Oct 20 to Oct 24 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
The expected bearish scenario unfolded. Dow failed to hold Y-1 and then dropped in a waterfall pattern clearing Y-2 and Y-3 in 1 go. The drop unleashed some panic selling but option expiration saved the week. Closed below Y-1 and above midpoint.
Outlook
Island reversals do not work well in general. Dow will have to somehow take care of the gap below to prove its strength before it can go higher. Y-1 / B-1 very strong resistance.
Given the current volatility level, it will not be a suprise that Dow will drop all the way back down to Y-3 / B-1 zone before deciding what to do next.
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