Recap The expected bearish scenario unfolded. Dow failed to hold Y-1 and then dropped in a waterfall pattern clearing Y-2 and Y-3 in 1 go. The drop unleashed some panic selling but option expiration saved the week. Closed below Y-1 and above midpoint.
Outlook Island reversals do not work well in general. Dow will have to somehow take care of the gap below to prove its strength before it can go higher. Y-1 / B-1 very strong resistance.
Given the current volatility level, it will not be a suprise that Dow will drop all the way back down to Y-3 / B-1 zone before deciding what to do next.
Recap of last week Did not mention USDCAD in past few weeks because it is in a tight range consolidation. Not much actions with this pair until the end ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Flushed to Y-2 as expected. News shock sending it back to Y-0. Closed the week below Y-0 and above Y-1.
Outlook
News shock again and again abrupted the longer term ...
Dow 30 Oct 20 to Oct 24 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
The expected bearish scenario unfolded. Dow failed to hold Y-1 and then dropped in a waterfall pattern clearing Y-2 and Y-3 in 1 go. The drop unleashed some panic selling but option expiration saved the week. Closed below Y-1 and above midpoint.
Outlook
Island reversals do not work well in general. Dow will have to somehow take care of the gap below to prove its strength before it can go higher. Y-1 / B-1 very strong resistance.
Given the current volatility level, it will not be a suprise that Dow will drop all the way back down to Y-3 / B-1 zone before deciding what to do next.
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