Recap Rallied to Y+2. As if hitting a brick wall, euro made a hard turn and dropped back to Y+1 and then broken down to retest Y-1. Closed the week below Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook More problems from euro zone. As long as B-0 / Y+1 is acting as resistance, this will send euro back down to B-2 and probably lower.
However, this is a pullback in terms of the daily uptrend just established last 2 weeks. Until we get more evidence that euro has failed to go higher, like a weekly reversal, will be careful with short.
This week almost produced a weekly reversal should euro closed below Y-1.
For now, holiday mode, light volume, and erratic moves til 1st week in Jan is over.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
ES flushed down to Y-2 instead of holding above, that set the stage for strong resistance at Y-1 and more downside. 100% absolute range expansion stopped the drop. Closed ...
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EURUSD Dec 10 to Dec 14 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Rallied to Y+2. As if hitting a brick wall, euro made a hard turn and dropped back to Y+1 and then broken down to retest Y-1. Closed the week below Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook
More problems from euro zone. As long as B-0 / Y+1 is acting as resistance, this will send euro back down to B-2 and probably lower.
However, this is a pullback in terms of the daily uptrend just established last 2 weeks. Until we get more evidence that euro has failed to go higher, like a weekly reversal, will be careful with short.
This week almost produced a weekly reversal should euro closed below Y-1.
For now, holiday mode, light volume, and erratic moves til 1st week in Jan is over.
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