Recap Reversal expectation played out. Euro rejected Y-1 and zoomed above Y+1 right after FOMC announcement. Strong reaction above Y+1. Closed the week above Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook Although euro snapped out of its down trend, it still has to deal with trapped long from above 1.09. This means even though a short term bottom is in place, there is still likely shake out move pressing euro back down to below Y-0 or even retesting Y-1 before Euro can go higher.
EURUSD Mar 23 to Mar 27 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Reversal expectation played out. Euro rejected Y-1 and zoomed above Y+1 right after FOMC announcement. Strong reaction above Y+1. Closed the week above Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook
Although euro snapped out of its down trend, it still has to deal with trapped long from above 1.09. This means even though a short term bottom is in place, there is still likely shake out move pressing euro back down to below Y-0 or even retesting Y-1 before Euro can go higher.
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