Recap Uptrend intact as B-0 never challenged. Y+3 strong up move target tagged. Closed the week near Y+3 and week high.
Outlook Euro successfully crushed the bears as Fed declared infinite QE from now on. In another words, no matter how bad european crisis is, Fed is determined to make sure the US dollar is weaker than Euro. This changes the dynamics in the currency markets completely.
This is a difficult game changing event and not everyone understand what it means going forward. A lot of confusion in coming few weeks for sure.
Historically, coming few weeks are bearish for euro and stock markets in general. Euro will be weaken and a pullback to Y+1 / B-1 is likely if this week Euro fails to push higher beyond Y+3.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Unfolded exactly as mentioned last week. Consolidation within the prescribed range. A breakout of Y+1 leads to doubling the week's range.
Outlook
As long as B-0 acts as support, Y+2 ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Feb close acted as resistance and selloff to fill gap below. That was the play mentioned last week. But it was all we got from the formation. ...
EURUSD Sep 17 to Sep 21 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Uptrend intact as B-0 never challenged. Y+3 strong up move target tagged. Closed the week near Y+3 and week high.
Outlook
Euro successfully crushed the bears as Fed declared infinite QE from now on. In another words, no matter how bad european crisis is, Fed is determined to make sure the US dollar is weaker than Euro. This changes the dynamics in the currency markets completely.
This is a difficult game changing event and not everyone understand what it means going forward. A lot of confusion in coming few weeks for sure.
Historically, coming few weeks are bearish for euro and stock markets in general. Euro will be weaken and a pullback to Y+1 / B-1 is likely if this week Euro fails to push higher beyond Y+3.
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