Forex Research Central
I spend a lot of time doing research on forex markets. Primary for my own trading but also done that for institutional clients. Following articles are the ones I have summarized from my years of research notes. I will keep posting more whenever I can squeeze time out from my schedule.
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alphabetical order | posting date
If you have not read the article on Euro Dollar Price Action Biases At Weekly Extremes please do so as I will not go over the basics here again. Swing Bias In Terms of Previous Week Range Although similar to euro dollar, pound demonstrates subtle d ...
2 studies are presented in this article. Let's get started. It is well known that the range of a trading period (i.e. a month, a week, a day), is highly correlated to the range of the trading period right after. The lesser known fact is that the ext ...
No market moves in a straight line. Most of the time strong directional moves will result in pullbacks. Euro Dollar Apex (Type 2) Trading Model is a counter-trend strategy taking advantage of that fact with very good consistent results. With about two third winners and low drawdown, it is a very reliable trading setup to lean on.
The Performance
Following is the 24 hour chart of euro dollar with bottom panel showing the net dollar gain based on a small lot ($10000) since early 2003. 2 pips spread discount is taken into account for all trades.
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Simplex was created along with several other models long time ago to provide daily guidelines to a group of forex traders who worked with me long time ago. These models are still working fine through the turbulent years since 2008. I think this set of trading models a good starting point for all traders to understand what mechanical bias is all about.
The Daytrade Model
Following is EURUSD 24 Hour chart with dollar gain per $10K lot (small lot size) in the bottom panel. The amount of money made is not that much on the first glance. But if you know that it only traded 93 times over 2500 trading days, with almost 70% winning rate, you would understand why it is a superior trading setup all by itself.
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US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) made the announcement last Thursday that it is going to buy $40 billion MBS (mortgage backed securities) every month with no expiration date and that the low interest rate will be kept until at least 20 ...
Article published at Seeking Alpha, Bankable ETF Strategy: Festina Lente ...
Article published at Seeking Alpha, Disturbing Development In Euro Currency ETF ...
Reports from the US forex brokerages indicate that retail forex traders are quite profitable over the past few quarters. Some firms reported that they have close to 40% of their retail clients being profitable in last quarter 2011. The survival rate ...
Here is a first look at forex brokerage data on a side by side basis. For many beginners who just started trading Forex, this is a very good introduction into the world of dealer market data. Our Chart Here is a chart that shows the spot ra ...
There are some more interesting differences between Forex trading and stock/index future trading. I will continue my discussion in this second instalment. 24 Hours Trading Forex trading starts every week from Sunday to Friday. The starting ti ...
