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Market Internals 2013-02-17
My monthly update on market internals.
The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Feb 17 close.
Reading
1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) below neutral zone but not dropping
2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) pulled back to neutral zone
3. 3 Days Advance Issues (green line) diverging from new high printed by S&P itself
Inference
a. #1 in bearish consolidation mode. That means 30-min timeframe intraday has no continuation strength. Both overbought and oversold on 30-min and up would result in reversal easily.
b. #2 points to breakout mode as the index has compressed at neutral zone for days.
c. #3 points to a pullback in breadth (advance issues) back down to neutral zone is necessary. It can correct itself without dragging the price of S&P lower. If so it will be very bullish for S&P.
Last update predicted it was still in favour of the bulls and every push lowered were good long opportunities. That was indeed what happened. This may change if #1 starts to slide lower away from the neutral zone into more bearish level.
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