The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Jun 20 close.
Reading
1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) well above neutral zone heading down
2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) moving down towards oversold area
3. 3-Day Advance Issues (green line) sold off down to new low together with S&P
Inference
a. #1 is bullish pointing to selloff should be bought
b. #2 points to a short term bottom is coming soon
c. #3 4th lower low matching the S&P points to a complex low in the making
Last update I was looking for a top that will lead to significant correction. We have that in progress now.
This corrective move in ES has not produced a bearish trend in 3-Day Advance Issues or TIck16 which implies another important swing low is in the making.
To time the swing low focus on Tick Index based divergence over a 2 to 3 day period to identify the potential bottom. Another sign to look for is that 3-Day Advance Issues would stay at the bottom for several days creating a powerful setup to squeeze S&P higher.
S&P500 Tick1K Index is a custom market breadth index built with a similar principle like the NYSE Tick Index. Since the S&P500 Tick1K Index contains only the S&P500 components, it ...
Review of Forecast for Oct 26, 2015
Sudden sharp pullback of 2% or more did not materialize as 1% drop capped the down side. Forecast of volatility spike swinged the market ...
Review of Forecast for Apr 25, 2016
2-way trading all week as expected. Ended up with short side winning as expected. Not enough time to develop further drop after 1.5% swing ...
3-Day Advance Issues continue its micro swing divergence against S&P.
Yet Tick16 LT is bullish at the moment.
That created a conflicting environment that rally during the day are sold into and ...
Review of Forecast for Aug 29, 2016
No 1% move in either direction led to range bounded actions, so 2% breakout play not triggered. Forecast of V-reversal play with downside action ...
OddBall is created by Mark Brown, and was featured in Active Trader magazine. It is a trading system designed for trading the S&P index future (or the emini counterpart). The ...
My monthly update on market internals. The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 May 17 close. ...
Review of Forecast for May 4, 2015
The expectation of 2nd week of correction predicted the scenario correctly. Bottom out within the week too. The breadth analog model did an excellent ...
Advance / Decline Issues Bear Strike is a day trading model based on real-time advance / decline issues. It is a very consistent mechanical trading model and a useful trading ...
Market Internals 2013-06-20
Monthly update on market internals.
The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Jun 20 close.
Reading
1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) well above neutral zone heading down
2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) moving down towards oversold area
3. 3-Day Advance Issues (green line) sold off down to new low together with S&P
Inference
a. #1 is bullish pointing to selloff should be bought
b. #2 points to a short term bottom is coming soon
c. #3 4th lower low matching the S&P points to a complex low in the making
Last update I was looking for a top that will lead to significant correction. We have that in progress now.
This corrective move in ES has not produced a bearish trend in 3-Day Advance Issues or TIck16 which implies another important swing low is in the making.
To time the swing low focus on Tick Index based divergence over a 2 to 3 day period to identify the potential bottom. Another sign to look for is that 3-Day Advance Issues would stay at the bottom for several days creating a powerful setup to squeeze S&P higher.
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