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Market Internals 2013-12-23
Monthly update on market internals.
The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Dec 23 close.
Review
Got the rally I was looking for since the last update.
Once we got Short Term Tick16 registered overbought, we had the sharp pullback expected into mid December.
The pullback led to Short Term and Long Term Tick16 stuck together below neutral produced a breakout setup.
We are in the upside breakout run right now.
Reading
1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) getting close to neutral zone from below is neutral.
2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) right below neutral zone without a clear direction is also neutral.
3. 3-Day Advance Issues (green line) produced a new high confirmed by new high in S&P is bullish.
Inference
a. #1 produces no useful reading
b. #2 produces no useful reading
c. #3 bullish short term
Long Term Outlook
Rally will likely continue into new year. Strength in 3-Day advance issues will drag Short Term Tick16 higher.
That, however, will make this rally very over extended by time to the upside with risk of a very sharp pullback.
Be carefully with long when Short Term Tick16 is back up to overbought area again.
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