Due to the way Tick indices are constructed, they can be called statistics themselves. Unlike technical indicators that are directly derived from price series, Tick indices are indirectly correlated to ...
The mega swings in the breadth have successfully forewarned and confirmed the swings of S&P over the past 5 swings.
The challenge at this point is that 3-Day Advance Issues ...
Since last update we got the major selloff I've been looking for.
Now, 3-day advance issues is back down at oversold level, while Tick16 Short Term is forming potential higher low.
Normally, ...
My monthly update on market internals.
The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Jan 18 close.
Reading
1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow ...
Since last update, S&P has experienced its most volatile month ever. However the custom market breadth indices never improved and keep getting worse.
As of last Thursday the target zone ...
Haven't got time to write an update til now.
The sell off I was looking for til 3-day advance struck bottom was done in the beginning of last week. Not quite ...
S&P500 Tick1K Index is a custom market breadth index built with a similar principle like the NYSE Tick Index. Since the S&P500 Tick1K Index contains only the S&P500 components, it ...
While preparing for the next article on converting trading rules between eSignal and DTN IQFeed versions of NYSE Tick Index, I have been doing data comparison on and off among ...
Market Internals 2013-12-23
Monthly update on market internals.
The current snapshot of S&P 500 3-Day Advance Issues, Tick16 Short Term + Long Term as of 2013 Dec 23 close.
Review
Got the rally I was looking for since the last update.
Once we got Short Term Tick16 registered overbought, we had the sharp pullback expected into mid December.
The pullback led to Short Term and Long Term Tick16 stuck together below neutral produced a breakout setup.
We are in the upside breakout run right now.
Reading
1. Long Term Tick16 (yellow line) getting close to neutral zone from below is neutral.
2. Short Term Tick16 (red line) right below neutral zone without a clear direction is also neutral.
3. 3-Day Advance Issues (green line) produced a new high confirmed by new high in S&P is bullish.
Inference
a. #1 produces no useful reading
b. #2 produces no useful reading
c. #3 bullish short term
Long Term Outlook
Rally will likely continue into new year. Strength in 3-Day advance issues will drag Short Term Tick16 higher.
That, however, will make this rally very over extended by time to the upside with risk of a very sharp pullback.
Be carefully with long when Short Term Tick16 is back up to overbought area again.
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