Recap Rallied to Y+1 but failed to hold above it. That points to a pullback to Y-0. Instead, ES gapped thru Y-0 and dropped to 100% absolute range expansion to the downside that is slightly higher than Y-1. The bounce to 50% of the week’s range led to further selloff.
Outlook The pattern on S&P is more bearish comparing to the other 2 indices. It suggests that B-2 is in play early next week as the past 2 weeks have combined into a huge bear flag pointing towards a lot more down side risk.
If a short term bottom is found right at the current close and a rally begins from there, the bear flag formation can still continue while ES run up to 1300.
S&P 500 Jun 27 to Jul 01 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Rallied to Y+1 but failed to hold above it. That points to a pullback to Y-0. Instead, ES gapped thru Y-0 and dropped to 100% absolute range expansion to the downside that is slightly higher than Y-1. The bounce to 50% of the week’s range led to further selloff.
Outlook
The pattern on S&P is more bearish comparing to the other 2 indices. It suggests that B-2 is in play early next week as the past 2 weeks have combined into a huge bear flag pointing towards a lot more down side risk.
If a short term bottom is found right at the current close and a rally begins from there, the bear flag formation can still continue while ES run up to 1300.
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