Recap Gap down in beginning of the week failed to gap below Y-1 to trigger the melt down scenario. That gave fuel to ES for a rally to Y+2. After Y+2 was tagged, ES simply stuck in the range between Y+1 and Y+2. Closed the week above Y+1 and midpoint.
Outlook ES successfully breakout above previous week zone and sitting above that for several days means Y+1 to B-0 has now turned into support and a retest of B+1 is likely.
A less likely scenario is that ES breaking below B-0 and that turning into resistance. This would set the stage for a daily level selloff with first downside target of B-2.
Overview
Emini overnight range 2180.25 to 2187.00 (at 9:00 am)
Overnight Midpoint 2183.50
Previous Week Close 2180.00
Battleplan for the Day
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Review of Forecast for Jul 4, 2016
Sharp pullback at the beginning of the week as forecasted. Since then rally all the way up and capped below the 1.5% upside as ...
S&P 500 Mar 05 to Mar 09 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Gap down in beginning of the week failed to gap below Y-1 to trigger the melt down scenario. That gave fuel to ES for a rally to Y+2. After Y+2 was tagged, ES simply stuck in the range between Y+1 and Y+2. Closed the week above Y+1 and midpoint.
Outlook
ES successfully breakout above previous week zone and sitting above that for several days means Y+1 to B-0 has now turned into support and a retest of B+1 is likely.
A less likely scenario is that ES breaking below B-0 and that turning into resistance. This would set the stage for a daily level selloff with first downside target of B-2.
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