Recap Gap down in beginning of the week failed to gap below Y-1 to trigger the melt down scenario. That gave fuel to ES for a rally to Y+2. After Y+2 was tagged, ES simply stuck in the range between Y+1 and Y+2. Closed the week above Y+1 and midpoint.
Outlook ES successfully breakout above previous week zone and sitting above that for several days means Y+1 to B-0 has now turned into support and a retest of B+1 is likely.
A less likely scenario is that ES breaking below B-0 and that turning into resistance. This would set the stage for a daily level selloff with first downside target of B-2.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
All week bear flag drift up. Tagged resistance at Y-0 before NFP and sold off right after. Wild reaction at Y-1 and erased the drop. Closed the week below ...
Overview
Emini overnight range 1878.75 up to 1896.75
Overnight Midpoint 1887.75
Previous Day Mid 1887.00
Emini S&P is now trading at the top part of its range with a gap down. ...
S&P 500 Mar 05 to Mar 09 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Gap down in beginning of the week failed to gap below Y-1 to trigger the melt down scenario. That gave fuel to ES for a rally to Y+2. After Y+2 was tagged, ES simply stuck in the range between Y+1 and Y+2. Closed the week above Y+1 and midpoint.
Outlook
ES successfully breakout above previous week zone and sitting above that for several days means Y+1 to B-0 has now turned into support and a retest of B+1 is likely.
A less likely scenario is that ES breaking below B-0 and that turning into resistance. This would set the stage for a daily level selloff with first downside target of B-2.
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