Recap ES failed to clear Y+1, gave us a run for Y-0. Y-0 tagged and bounced. Failed to clear previous week close like Dow has opened the door to break week low for full gap fill below. ES eventually flushed down to Y-1. Closed the week near Y-1 and week low.
Outlook Volatility attracts more volatility. Even consolidation around B-1 area would easily be 40 points range for the week.
Situation in Ukraine can induce more selling. B-2 down to 1800 is next bearish target.
Following are custom market breadth charts for Dow, S&P500 and Nasdaq 100. All 3 indices have built up significant breadth overbought conditions in their 5-Day New Highs ...
S&P 500 Mar 17 to Mar 21 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
ES failed to clear Y+1, gave us a run for Y-0. Y-0 tagged and bounced. Failed to clear previous week close like Dow has opened the door to break week low for full gap fill below. ES eventually flushed down to Y-1. Closed the week near Y-1 and week low.
Outlook
Volatility attracts more volatility. Even consolidation around B-1 area would easily be 40 points range for the week.
Situation in Ukraine can induce more selling. B-2 down to 1800 is next bearish target.
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