Recap As oppose to a pullback consolidation, ES gave us an all out blowoff top resulting in a fast 50+ points selloff. Messy price actions since. Due to holiday Monday coming, volume dropped significantly on Friday. Closed the week below midpoint and near Y-0.
Outlook A strong case for a long term reversal is in place. But landing a close above Y-0, even though marginally, is not that bearish short term.
Classic pattern suggest a pop at least back up to B-0 which is conveniently the 50% mark of the 50 points selloff. The fight within this B-0 down to B-1 zone will be very fierce as bulls have been in control for so long it will not give up easily.
The big question is whether a more significant pullback is in the making. There are several magnets below that will be tested. It is just a matter of time. Key levels are 1600, 1500 and then 1400. As long as the 1600 level holds, ES can stage a bottom on weekly for at least a retest of year high in a month or two.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Consolidation around week open below Y-1. Jumpy was probably the best word for what happened last week. Closed the week below Y-1 and near week low.
Outlook
Consolidation with ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Bounced slightly stronger than my expectation. Tagged Y-0 but failed to hold above the midpoint. Trapped within the range all week since. Closed the week above midpoint.
Outlook
Breakout ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Selling could not happen as NFP week bias kicked in. FBO against Y-1 gave us Y-0 and then Y+1 before NFP Friday. By Friday, the surprise is over and ...
S&P 500 May 27 to May 31 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
As oppose to a pullback consolidation, ES gave us an all out blowoff top resulting in a fast 50+ points selloff. Messy price actions since. Due to holiday Monday coming, volume dropped significantly on Friday. Closed the week below midpoint and near Y-0.
Outlook
A strong case for a long term reversal is in place. But landing a close above Y-0, even though marginally, is not that bearish short term.
Classic pattern suggest a pop at least back up to B-0 which is conveniently the 50% mark of the 50 points selloff. The fight within this B-0 down to B-1 zone will be very fierce as bulls have been in control for so long it will not give up easily.
The big question is whether a more significant pullback is in the making. There are several magnets below that will be tested. It is just a matter of time. Key levels are 1600, 1500 and then 1400. As long as the 1600 level holds, ES can stage a bottom on weekly for at least a retest of year high in a month or two.
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