Recap Y-0 cleared in the beginning of the week gave as a reason to look for a test of Y+1. FBO off Y+1 gave as a go for Y-1 and we got that too. But the drop was not supported by Dow or NQ. S&P bounced all the way back up. Closed the week above Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook Outside week with close within previous week range. Price pattern of double top failed to hold the price below Y-1 pointing to a measured move back to at least the range of the DT and we got that too. Both bullish and bearish patterns are consumed at this point. How interesting is that?
Outside week with higher close favours the upside. A retest of B+1 is likely, from there I need to see the reaction before I can tell what is likely going to happen.
If another FBO at B+1 is in the making, a quick flush back down to Y-0 / B-0 again.
If clean breakout, we get a run to Y+2 / B+2 easy.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
ES failed to clear Y+1, gave us a run for Y-0. Y-0 tagged and bounced. Failed to clear previous week close like Dow has opened the door to break ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Failed to break above the resistance zone I mentioned last week, selloff continue. Closed the week near the low of the week.
Outlook
The down channel is intact but potential ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
The selloff scenario played out where the target of Y-3 was tagged.
The strength of the rally in the 2nd half of the week is a bit surprising ...
S&P 500 Nov 11 to Nov 15 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Y-0 cleared in the beginning of the week gave as a reason to look for a test of Y+1. FBO off Y+1 gave as a go for Y-1 and we got that too. But the drop was not supported by Dow or NQ. S&P bounced all the way back up. Closed the week above Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook
Outside week with close within previous week range. Price pattern of double top failed to hold the price below Y-1 pointing to a measured move back to at least the range of the DT and we got that too. Both bullish and bearish patterns are consumed at this point. How interesting is that?
Outside week with higher close favours the upside. A retest of B+1 is likely, from there I need to see the reaction before I can tell what is likely going to happen.
If another FBO at B+1 is in the making, a quick flush back down to Y-0 / B-0 again.
If clean breakout, we get a run to Y+2 / B+2 easy.
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