Recap 1450 acted as resistance in the beginning of the week and forced a drop back down. Then the sudden reversal back up to Monday high area caught the bears by surprise and finally led to an all out short squeeze. Classic tight range breakout gunning for 100% expansion. Pullback to Monday high afterwards. Closed the week below Y+1.
Outlook All 3 indices are forming a slightly different structure.
The only common theme standing out is that NQ and ES are both closing below Y+1, a sign of potential false breakout to the upside in place. That means, early next week if Y+1 is acting as resistance forcing ES and NQ back down, then we may get an all out selloff down to B-1 and below.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Pullback to Y-0 support and took off. Upside target Y+2 not tagged yet. Closed the week above Y+1 and near week high.
Outlook
Y+2 still in play. FBO against ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
The bullish reversal scenario happened. Cleared Y+1 quickly but failed to close above. Closed the week above Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook
In order to continue matching higher, ES must ...
S&P 500 Oct 08 to Oct 12 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
1450 acted as resistance in the beginning of the week and forced a drop back down. Then the sudden reversal back up to Monday high area caught the bears by surprise and finally led to an all out short squeeze. Classic tight range breakout gunning for 100% expansion. Pullback to Monday high afterwards. Closed the week below Y+1.
Outlook
All 3 indices are forming a slightly different structure.
The only common theme standing out is that NQ and ES are both closing below Y+1, a sign of potential false breakout to the upside in place. That means, early next week if Y+1 is acting as resistance forcing ES and NQ back down, then we may get an all out selloff down to B-1 and below.
Difficult week ahead trading the indices.
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