S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast

Weekly comments on the forecast made by the S&P market breadth analog model. Daily update of the report is available in Daily Market Breadth Monitor (US Indices).

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breadth_forecast_20150417
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 20, 2015

Review of Forecast for Apr 13, 2015 All attempts to go higher last week are capped below the 1% boundary as forecasted last week. Forecast of strong downside risk was also materialized. Forecast from last week nailed the scenario completely. The b ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160422
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 25, 2016

Review of Forecast for Apr 18, 2016 Swing top attempt materialized. Not enough time to develop further drop after 1.5% swing down happened from week high. Volatility picked up as expected. The breadth analog model did a great job for the week. ...

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breadth_forecast_20150424
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 27, 2015

Review of Forecast for Apr 20, 2015 First attempt to go higher last week was capped at the 1.5% boundary as forecasted last week. Yet by mid week the selling failed to produce the strong downside risk scenario as forecasted. That in turn led to an ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150402
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 6, 2015

Review of Mar 30, 2015 Bounce of 1% early in the week was spot on. The continuation selling right after was also an excellent call. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting Apr 6, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150807
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Aug 10, 2015

Review of Forecast for Aug 3, 2015 Range completely trapped within the range from the week before. Sideway expectation panned out nicely. End of week bearish actions confirming swing top potential. The breadth analog model did an excellent job las ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150814
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Aug 17, 2015

Review of Forecast for Aug 10, 2015 Sideway market expectation was correct but China's sudden devaluation actions amplified the magnitude of the two-way market from the expected 1% to 1.5%. Swing low formed as expected. The breadth analog model di ...

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breadth_forecast_20150821
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Aug 24, 2015

Review of Forecast for Aug 17, 2015 Mild bullish expectation panned out for the first half of the week. Even right after the release of the Fed minutes led to another attempt to push the market higher. As the narrative suddenly changed together wi ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150731
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Aug 3, 2015

Review of Forecast for Jul 27, 2015 Initial gap down was contained within 0.5% and the forecasted mild 1% bounce took place right after. No trend expectation panned out nicely as S&P moved back to the midpoint of the week before. End of week m ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150828
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Aug 31, 2015

Review of Forecast for Aug 24, 2015 Extreme intraday swings expectations played out. The extreme gap down led to violent bounce back up to fill the gap was unexpected. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Aug 31, ...

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custom_market_breadth_20151211
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Dec 14, 2015

Review of Forecast for Dec 7, 2015 Bearish expectation worked out. The expansion to 2.5% or more downside also worked out. The breadth analog model did an excellent job for the week. Forecast Starting Dec 14, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 s ...

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