S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast

Weekly comments on the forecast made by the S&P market breadth analog model. Daily update of the report is available in Daily Market Breadth Monitor (US Indices).

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custom_market_breadth_20160603
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jun 6, 2016

Review of Forecast for May 30, 2016 Compression conditions in custom breadth continues. Attempts to breakout of the defined tight range all failed. Sudden reversals at the boundaries all week. The breadth analog model did a fair job for the week. ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150605
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jun 8, 2015

Review of Forecast for Jun 1, 2015 The expectation of volatile price actions was correct. We are looking at the start of a 5% downside move also taking shape. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting Jun 8, 201 ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160311
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 14, 2016

Review of Forecast for Mar 7, 2016 Going sideway materialized early in the week. 1.5% drop defended blocking 2.5% expansion from happening. Wild swings late in the week switching between bullish and bearish real-time breadth as forecasted. The bre ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160318
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 21, 2016

Review of Forecast for Mar 14, 2016 Going sideway pullback until 1.5% drop defended and led to an all out run higher to close positive for the year. Wild swings both ways in the week switching between bullish and bearish real-time breadth as forec ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160325
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 28, 2016

Review of Forecast for Mar 21, 2016 Pullback until 1.5% drop defended and bounced back into a shortened week close. Extended swings with low volume both ways switching between bullish and bearish real-time breadth as forecasted. The breadth analog ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150328
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 30, 2015

Review of Mar 23, 2015 Limited upside bias with more downside risk realized. The more negative outlook was not available until after Monday though. Overall an accceptable risk forecast comparing to almost everyone calling for the market to go high ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160304
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 7, 2016

Review of Forecast for Feb 29, 2016 Volatile breakout play materialized. Real-time breadth turned bullish since early in the week the swing low was formed. Extreme volatility as forecasted. Swing top not produced as strong trend did not produce ex ...

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breadth_forecast_20150508
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 11, 2015

Review of Forecast for May 4, 2015 The expectation of 2nd week of correction predicted the scenario correctly. Bottom out within the week too. The breadth analog model did an excellent job again. Forecast Starting May 11, 2015 Summary of the ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160513
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 16, 2016

Review of Forecast for May 9, 2016 Sideway tight range week as expected. Range bounded within 1.5% as expected. The breadth analog model did an excellent job for the week. Forecast Starting May 16, 2016 Summary of the S&P500 short-term ...

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breadth_forecast_20150515
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 18, 2015

Review of Forecast for May 11, 2015 The expectation of 1.5% or more upside was interrupted by price shock early in the week. Yet S&P held up fine at previous week midpoint and indeed started a rally of near 2%. The breadth analog model did not ...

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