S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast

Weekly comments on the forecast made by the S&P market breadth analog model. Daily update of the report is available in Daily Market Breadth Monitor (US Indices).

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breadth_forecast_20151009
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Oct 12, 2015

Review of Forecast for Oct 5, 2015 Gap and go week ruled out the potential of sharp pullback until next major resistance. Calmer market condition expectation was totally correct as VIX was crushed to multiple weeks low. The breadth analog model di ...

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breadth_forecast_20151016
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Oct 19, 2015

Review of Forecast for Oct 12, 2015 Pullback of 1.5% capped the drop so the 2% and more decline did not materialize. Volatility uptick happened but not by much. The breadth analog model did a poor job last week. Forecast Starting Oct 19, 2015 ...

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breadth_forecast_20151023
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Oct 26, 2015

Review of Forecast for Oct 19, 2015 Pullback of 1% capped the drop so the 2% and more decline did not materialize. Volatility spike as forecasted. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Oct 26, 2015 Summary of t ...

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breadth_forecast_20151002
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Oct 5, 2015

Review of Forecast for Sep 28, 2015 All week up expectation played out from the flush low formed early in the week. 1.5% rally from the week low led to 2.5% and more up side also worked out. Extreme volatility expectation was correct. The breadth ...

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breadth_forecast_20150911
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Sep 14, 2015

Review of Forecast for Sep 7, 2015 Extreme swings expectations played out. 3% swing up and than 3% swing down fulfilled both upside and downside expectations. The breadth analog model did a great job last week. Forecast Starting Sep 14, 2015 ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150918
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Sep 21, 2015

Review of Forecast for Sep 14, 2015 Another week with extreme swings of 3% up and then 3% down thanks to FOMC interest rate decision. The normal expectation of 1% upside cap failed to capture the FOMC induced volatility. Weaknesses into end of wee ...

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breadth_forecast_20150925
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Sep 28, 2015

Review of Forecast for Sep 21, 2015 Limited up side expectation played out. 1.5% drop led to 2.5% or more down side also worked out. Extreme volatility expectation was correct. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast S ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150904
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Sep 7, 2015

Review of Forecast for Aug 31, 2015 Extreme swings expectations played out. 2% or more down side move materialized. Limited upside forecast also correct. The breadth analog model did a great job last week. Forecast Starting Sep 7, 2015 Summa ...

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