"Market Breadth" Posts
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 13, 2015
By Lawrence
Review of Apr 6, 2015 Monday gap down capped by 1% drop and it led to a mega run all the way back up to +1.5% from the prior week close. Forecast from last week nailed this precisely. The breadth analog model did an excellent job again. Forecast Starting Apr 13, 2015 Summary of the […]
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 6, 2015
By Lawrence
Review of Mar 30, 2015 Bounce of 1% early in the week was spot on. The continuation selling right after was also an excellent call. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting Apr 6, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as […]
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 30, 2015
By Lawrence
Review of Mar 23, 2015 Limited upside bias with more downside risk realized. The more negative outlook was not available until after Monday though. Overall an accceptable risk forecast comparing to almost everyone calling for the market to go higher last weekend. Forecast Starting Mar 30, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on […]
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 23, 2015
By Lawrence
Review of Mar 16, 2015 Bullish bias realized for the week. Even though FOMC decision has driven S&P going straight up, S&P500 could barely enter the +2.5% boundary. A good forecast overall. Forecast Starting Mar 23, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the […]
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 16, 2015
By Lawrence
Review of Mar 9, 2015 Forecast Downside risk within 2.5% was realized and Trend Down was in force all week. First posted forecast did a good job. Forecast Starting Mar 16, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the close of March 13, 2015: […]
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 9, 2015
By Lawrence
Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the close on March 6, 2015: Downside risk of 2.5% or more still exist but under control. In coming 10 days, S&P500 is more likely to drift sideway pinning itself within +/- 2% from previous week close, slightly favouring […]
Introduction to S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast
By Lawrence
This is a short introduction of the S&P500 Short-Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast report available in Daily Market Breadth Monitor (US Indices). I will explain what it does and how to utilize it on daily basis for swing level trade planning. It is a very unique tool for which no retail trader has ever get […]
Market Breadth Primer: Market Breadth Analog Forecasting Method
By Lawrence
Classic approaches to the interpretation of market breadth data are mainly based on signal generation and recognition of outlier events. The reason for market participants to do that is obvious – the indicator got to produce something of immediate value to be considered as useful to the creator. What can be more convincing than having […]
The Next Phase of Daily Market Breadth Monitor
By LawrenceThe server side changes I talked about last time has resolved the main problem affecting our daily report generation. From here is onward we have to fix the individual symbols having update issues and the new design will be complete. The side effect of solving this main problem is enabling us to update the charts […]
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 20, 2015
Review of Forecast for Apr 13, 2015 All attempts to go higher last week are capped below the 1% boundary as forecasted last week. Forecast of strong downside risk was also materialized. Forecast from last week nailed the scenario completely. The breadth analog model did an excellent job again. Forecast Starting Apr 20, 2015 Summary […]