"Market Breadth" Posts

Review of Forecast for Nov 2, 2015 Quiet NFP week with intraday volatility picking up as expected. The development of a swing top that is necessary for the potential 5% pullback was still in progress. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Nov 9, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term […]

Review of Forecast for Oct 26, 2015 Sudden sharp pullback of 2% or more did not materialize as 1% drop capped the down side. Forecast of volatility spike swinged the market both ways mid-week. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Nov 2, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast […]

Review of Forecast for Oct 19, 2015 Pullback of 1% capped the drop so the 2% and more decline did not materialize. Volatility spike as forecasted. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Oct 26, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model […]

Review of Forecast for Oct 12, 2015 Pullback of 1.5% capped the drop so the 2% and more decline did not materialize. Volatility uptick happened but not by much. The breadth analog model did a poor job last week. Forecast Starting Oct 19, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market […]

Review of Forecast for Oct 5, 2015 Gap and go week ruled out the potential of sharp pullback until next major resistance. Calmer market condition expectation was totally correct as VIX was crushed to multiple weeks low. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Oct 12, 2015 Summary of the […]

Review of Forecast for Sep 28, 2015 All week up expectation played out from the flush low formed early in the week. 1.5% rally from the week low led to 2.5% and more up side also worked out. Extreme volatility expectation was correct. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting […]

Review of Forecast for Sep 21, 2015 Limited up side expectation played out. 1.5% drop led to 2.5% or more down side also worked out. Extreme volatility expectation was correct. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting Sep 28, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary […]

Review of Forecast for Sep 14, 2015 Another week with extreme swings of 3% up and then 3% down thanks to FOMC interest rate decision. The normal expectation of 1% upside cap failed to capture the FOMC induced volatility. Weaknesses into end of week projection was correct. Extreme volatility expectation was also spot on. The […]

Review of Forecast for Sep 7, 2015 Extreme swings expectations played out. 3% swing up and than 3% swing down fulfilled both upside and downside expectations. The breadth analog model did a great job last week. Forecast Starting Sep 14, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model […]