"Market Breadth" Posts

Review of Forecast for Aug 31, 2015 Extreme swings expectations played out. 2% or more down side move materialized. Limited upside forecast also correct. The breadth analog model did a great job last week. Forecast Starting Sep 7, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of […]

Review of Forecast for Aug 24, 2015 Extreme intraday swings expectations played out. The extreme gap down led to violent bounce back up to fill the gap was unexpected. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Aug 31, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market […]

Review of Forecast for Aug 17, 2015 Mild bullish expectation panned out for the first half of the week. Even right after the release of the Fed minutes led to another attempt to push the market higher. As the narrative suddenly changed together with the weaknesses in Asian markets, the bearish expectation for the 2nd […]

Review of Forecast for Aug 10, 2015 Sideway market expectation was correct but China’s sudden devaluation actions amplified the magnitude of the two-way market from the expected 1% to 1.5%. Swing low formed as expected. The breadth analog model did a good job last week. Forecast Starting Aug 17, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term […]

Review of Forecast for Aug 3, 2015 Range completely trapped within the range from the week before. Sideway expectation panned out nicely. End of week bearish actions confirming swing top potential. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting Aug 10, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my […]

Review of Forecast for Jul 27, 2015 Initial gap down was contained within 0.5% and the forecasted mild 1% bounce took place right after. No trend expectation panned out nicely as S&P moved back to the midpoint of the week before. End of week mild bearish bias also worked out even though initial reaction to […]

Review of Forecast for Jul 20, 2015 Bearish bias worked out perfectly as Monday formed the top. S&P dropped to the 1.5% mark which led to further downside into the end of the week. Not even Amazon surprise earning could stop the drop down to weekly open gap below. The breadth analog model did a […]

Review of Forecast for Jul 13, 2015 First we have Greece last minute deal done, ramping S&P higher to the 1.5% mark which indicated further upside into the end of the week. Then Google earning helped to keep the price up til the end of the week. The breadth analog model did a fair job […]

Review of Forecast for Jul 6, 2015 Even though the situation in Greece is messing up the markets, the down trend in force for the week kept the bulls from pushing S&P higher. The original projection of 5% decline from the week that produced the top of the year so far has been completed. The […]

Review of Forecast for Jun 29, 2015 Gap lower on Greece situation. That ruled out the potential for a 1% bounce at the start of the week and led to continuous selling the rest of the week even though S&P gapped higher every trading day. The breadth analog model did a great job last week. […]