"Market Breadth" Posts

Review of Forecast for Jun 22, 2015 Rumor over the weekend on Greece led to a jump of almost 1% higher. All week selling since at the predicted 2% magnitude. The breadth analog model did a great job last week. Forecast Starting Jun 29, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary […]

Review of Forecast for Jun 15, 2015 The expectation of volatile price actions was correct with 1% swing down and then 2% straight up. The swing top potential is there given Friday’s weak close but it is still under development. The breadth analog model did a good job last week. Forecast Starting Jun 22, 2015 […]

Review of Forecast for Jun 8, 2015 The expectation of volatile price actions was correct with 1% swing down and then 2% straight up. The risk of 5% downside move did not materialize as a hoax about a deal with Greece changed everything. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting […]

Review of Forecast for Jun 1, 2015 The expectation of volatile price actions was correct. We are looking at the start of a 5% downside move also taking shape. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting Jun 8, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market […]

Review of Forecast for May 25, 2015 The expectation of a modest decline was correct. 1.5% decline was registered but did not drop further thanks to rumors were spread about Greece at critical moment last week. The potential of a strong decline is shaping up but not confirmed yet. The breadth analog model did a […]

Review of Forecast for May 18, 2015 The expectation of limited upside was correct. In fact, all week consolidation. The potential of starting a strong decline was not confirmed yet. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting May 25, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary […]

Review of Forecast for May 11, 2015 The expectation of 1.5% or more upside was interrupted by price shock early in the week. Yet S&P held up fine at previous week midpoint and indeed started a rally of near 2%. The breadth analog model did not anticipated the shock so it was not helping last […]

Review of Forecast for May 4, 2015 The expectation of 2nd week of correction predicted the scenario correctly. Bottom out within the week too. The breadth analog model did an excellent job again. Forecast Starting May 11, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the […]

Review of Forecast for Apr 27, 2015 The significant selling warning nailed the scenario completely. The breadth analog model did an excellent job again. Forecast Starting May 4, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the close of May 1, 2015: 2nd week of the […]

Review of Forecast for Apr 20, 2015 First attempt to go higher last week was capped at the 1.5% boundary as forecasted last week. Yet by mid week the selling failed to produce the strong downside risk scenario as forecasted. That in turn led to an all out rally higher into end of week. Forecast […]