Latest Trading Research & Articles

iStock_000001603593XSmall Latest research and articles on trading and day trading related matters. Research mainly focuses on Emini and Forex markets. You will find in-depth research on trading techniques, market biases and trading signals that you will never read from anywhere else. You can always find something useful to improve your trading here.

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QQQ EOD 2Percent Down System_20121022_211144
NDX Down 2 Percent Daytrading Model  member onlypremium content

Many of you have read my Nasdaq 100 Down 2% Trading Setup article. Some of you complained that it is very difficult to convert the bias into an usable edge. Here is an example trading model showing you how. [DTBMember] The Performance Followin ...

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Rogers I Hate You

Okay. You said you are going to upgrade my internet access speed during the day. Fine. I asked, "How long would it take?" The other side, "5 to 10 minutes, then you will experience a boost in performance." I said, "Okay ...

2 comments


MBO Recurrence_20121021_020957
What Really Happens During Election Years

Following is the daily composite average of Dow during election years since 1932. The chart shows the average values from the first trading day up to the last trading day. The green line is the composite high. The blue line is the composite clos ...

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FX 24H EURUSD ApexType2_20121017_185527
Forex Trading Open Secrets: Euro Dollar Apex (Type 2) Trading Model  member onlypremium content

No market moves in a straight line. Most of the time strong directional moves will result in pullbacks. Euro Dollar Apex (Type 2) Trading Model is a counter-trend strategy taking advantage of that fact with very good consistent results. With about two third winners and low drawdown, it is a very reliable trading setup to lean on.

The Performance

Following is the 24 hour chart of euro dollar with bottom panel showing the net dollar gain based on a small lot ($10000) since early 2003. 2 pips spread discount is taken into account for all trades.

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2 comments


Trading Emini
How Much Money Is Needed For Trading Emini S&P?

I have received this question, "How much money is needed for trading emini S&P?" so many times I guess I should post the answers here. Answers? Yes. Not one answer but answers. Learning To Trade Emini Discretionarily If you have ...

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FX 24H EURUSD Simplex_20121016_125331
Forex Trading Open Secrets: Euro Dollar Simplex Trading Systems  premium content

Simplex was created along with several other models long time ago to provide daily guidelines to a group of forex traders who worked with me long time ago. These models are still working fine through the turbulent years since 2008. I think this set of trading models a good starting point for all traders to understand what mechanical bias is all about.

The Daytrade Model

Following is EURUSD 24 Hour chart with dollar gain per $10K lot (small lot size) in the bottom panel. The amount of money made is not that much on the first glance. But if you know that it only traded 93 times over 2500 trading days, with almost 70% winning rate, you would understand why it is a superior trading setup all by itself.

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SPY NFP Play_20121011_174413
Nonfarm Payroll Week Trading Models  member onlypremium content

It is well know among many professional traders that NFP week has a strong bullish bias. But as I have shown in the article, Nonfarm Payroll Report Bias, it is not that simple in utilizing this bias in reality. I am going to show you 3 trading models ...

5 comments


SPY NFP Play_20121011_123238
Survival Guide To Trading Nonfarm Payroll Report Week

US Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) Report is a monthly report coming from Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) that summarizes the employment condition within United States. The week of NFP Report has a special bias that all traders should be aware of. The Irregu ...

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iStock_000016146296XSmall
What a Simple Bingo Game Can Teach Us?

Kids playing with a MMORPG (in case you do not know what that is - it is the kind of game Wikipedia founder Jimmy Wales played and probably obsessed with many years ago) found a mini-game within the game that essentially plays like bingo. Each play ...

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Emini SP Double Gap Statistics
Double Gap Statistics  member only

Gaps not filled the same day is a rare event in Emini S&P. It happens less than 4% of the time. Whenever it happens though, it produces a very consistent bias for the next trading day that is exploitable.

If you do not know what gaps are, please read about it in Outside Gap Behaviour, Then and Now.

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