Trading System Concepts and Design


Trading models are created so that the so called human factor can be minimized. Most of the time, production trading models are utilized by firms like hedge funds and larger institutions. Retail traders having access to backtesting tools like TradeStation and other trading platforms can build their own trading systems easily but rarely do they successfully deploy any models to trade their own money.

Over the years I have helped many hedge funds and pro traders developing, refining and maintaining trading models. The sharp contrast between professionals and the retail traders in understanding what trading systems are driving me insane sometimes.

Here is a partial list of articles I have written on building trading system over the years. I have organized the material below into several sections so that it would be easier to find them. Whenever I can locate the rest of the articles I have written will add them here.


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Forex Weekly Bias: Bullish Mean Rejection  premium content

Another simple forex trading signal that exploits the weekly mean reversion property of Euro. The strength of this system is in its simplicity. For those who have read the classic Taylor Trading Technique (from George Douglass Taylor), this setup i ...

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Forex Weekly Bias: Bearish Mean Reversion  member only

A simple forex trading signal that exploits the mean reversion behaviour of Euro and its Monday weaknesses. Do not underestimate a simple system like this. It is a very profitable system by itself and a strong mechanical filter for forex day traders ...

2 comments


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HFT Is Not The Same As Algorithmic Trading

Just a short explanation to clarify these two terms - High Frequency Trading (HFT) and Algorithmic Trading (AT). Algorithmic Trading (AT) is a generic term referring to the use of rule driven computer models to execute trades on behalf of their huma ...

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Preparing Yourself For Mechanical Trading

I have been offered many times to sell my mechanical day trading systems. I turned down almost all of them. Most of these potential clients are retail traders. I rejected them not because of the amount of money offered is not good enough. The problem ...

One comment


ES TRIN Driver_20130529_211324
The TRIN Bearish Bias Play  premium content

TRIN bearish bias is different from its bullish bias for the same reason that bull market behaviour is different from bear market. Short term overbought condition in TRIN has more requirements than its counterpart. First, net gain from day trading t ...

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ES TRIN Driver_20130527_184455
The TRIN Bullish Bias Play  premium content

TRIN is also called the Arms Index. It is often used as a swing term indicator. It can be used that way but it is a waste of the information provided by the index. First, net gain from day trading this TRIN bias.   The Setup [DTBMember] ...

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ES Basic Weekday Bias_20130521_222445
The Extremely Uneven Distribution Behaviour In Emini S&P 500 Regular Trading Session

Following is a chart showing the net gains from long only models that trade only on a particular weekday. The results are very interesting. Notice the drastic difference in net gain for each weekday. I can guess that you have many questions in you ...

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ES Weekly STOPD Patterns_20130514_215946
Weekly STOPD Pattern: S&P Bearish Continuation 1  premium content

There are quite a number of patterns that work around the weekly STOPD price levels giving us a solid edge. This one is a classic bearish continuation setup. Net gain chart below. The Setup [DTBMember] Low below previous week low by 25% of ...

2 comments


ES VIX Bearish Core Driver. DaytradingBias.com
The VIX Bearish Bias Play  premium content

The bearish property of VIX that no one talks about. If you need background information about the Volatility Index (VIX) please read The VIX Bullish Play. It has more background information about VIX that I do not want to repeat here. I am going to ...

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ES VIX Bullish Core Driver_20130509_124803
The VIX Bullish Bias Play  premium content

The Volatility Index from Chicago Board Option Exchange (VIX) is used to be a great tool for short term timing. It has many excellent properties that are useful for trading. Since the introduction of the VIX Future, however, many of these characteris ...

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