Trading With Tick Index: Early Detection Of Trend Buy Day (Signal ID – TICK Trend Buy)
Trend buy day are the days where the stock market indices just keep going higher. Day traders are often trapped on the wrong side of the market on such days due to various price based measures telling them the up moves are over extended. What they fail to realize is that the market has been driven by the buying of the underlying components on those days thus the index future has no choice but to follow.
Being able to detect this undercurrent before it turns into all out rally can be a life saver for day traders. Tick index is one of those tools best at giving us such information early on. Following is a basic day trading model showing you how to capture a trend day with the NYSE Tick Index.
The Performance
Following is a net dollar gain chart of the trading model trading a single Emini S&P contract. Commission of $2.5 per contract per trade is already deducted from the net gain.
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Interesting. System did extremely well in the 2008-9 bear market, even better than in bull markets. Somehow I doubt negative tick days (sell @ 10 am if avg tick < X) would have the same kind of profitability
trapped shorts behave differently comparing to trapped longs
so yes the trend sell version is not based on the same concept
You write “When appropriate filters are applied to this model, you can expect upward of 75% to 80% winning rate with minimal drawdown”. Do you have an article that discusses these filters in connection with $TICK Trend Buy rules presented in this article? Or are such filters discussed in your TSB or other training materials?
Good question – originally I was writing on advanced breadth trading models several years ago and because of so much background information and fundamental trading knowledge has to be covered, I ended up breaking it up into 3 volumes. TSB is the absolute foundation of running a trading business. Emini Day Trading Course is the foundation of day trading strategies. And now I am working on the volume on advanced breadth trading techniques.