Recap Consolidation above Y-0 not only gave us a rally to retest Y+1, it also gave us a clean breakout leading to a squeeze to Y+3. Closed the week near Y+1 and above midpoint.
Outlook The upside breakout was strongly correlated to the selloff in gold.
The breakout has breached multiple weekly resistance hence the long term down trend is now broken. This does not translate into a strong rally automatically because it will take time to build a better base before it can go higher.
Next week as long as Y+5 is putting a cap on the up swing, consolidation around B+1 is expected.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Ninja attempted to hold Y-1 but capped by 118 round number. Eventually flushed down to equal distance from previous week close. Closed the week below Y-1 and midpoint.
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Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Bad data affected this chart. Aussie pushed higher above Y+1 but failed to hold up at the end and dropped all the way back to Y+1. Closed the week ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Y-0 support sent this higher to test Y+1. Turned lower below Y+1 opening the door to Y-1. Y-1 tagged and bounced. Closed the week above Y-0 and B-0.
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USDCAD Jan 28 to Feb 01 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Consolidation above Y-0 not only gave us a rally to retest Y+1, it also gave us a clean breakout leading to a squeeze to Y+3. Closed the week near Y+1 and above midpoint.
Outlook
The upside breakout was strongly correlated to the selloff in gold.
The breakout has breached multiple weekly resistance hence the long term down trend is now broken. This does not translate into a strong rally automatically because it will take time to build a better base before it can go higher.
Next week as long as Y+5 is putting a cap on the up swing, consolidation around B+1 is expected.
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