Recap Started the week by tagging the upside target mentioned last week. Not even a chance to join the ride. Then FBO triggered against Y+1 and gave us Y-1 minimum downside right there. Got Y-1 and flushed to Y-3 / Y-4 before it stopped. And to the surprise of many, closed the week by rallying back to Y-0 and above midpoint.
Outlook It was pretty messed up last week. I have been talking about a swing top to short into since 2 weeks ago. And now it flushed 200+ pips quickly and bounced all the way back. It will be difficult to position a swing short from here because there are many trapped shorts below B-0. All it takes is a nudge to Y+1 and a power short squeeze can be triggered.
Not going to participate on the long side this week. Will look for daytrading opportunities if a breakdown occurs flushing through B-0 quickly. If so will look for a drop to at least 90 even.
For more information about this report please refer to the Market Bias Informant pageTrading day for Forex symbols start at around 5 pm ET depending on Daylight Saving Time schedule
For more information about this report please refer to the Market Bias Informant pageTrading day for Forex symbols start at around 5 pm ET depending on Daylight Saving Time schedule
For more information about this report please refer to the Market Bias Informant pageTrading day for Forex symbols start at around 5 pm ET depending on Daylight Saving Time schedule
For more information about this report please refer to the Market Bias Informant pageTrading day for Forex symbols start at around 5 pm ET depending on Daylight Saving Time schedule
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
The now routine Monday gap helped Dow to hold the close from the week prior and zoomed up to almost Y+1. That did not change the breadth bias to ...
USDJPY Mar 04 to Mar 08 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Started the week by tagging the upside target mentioned last week. Not even a chance to join the ride. Then FBO triggered against Y+1 and gave us Y-1 minimum downside right there. Got Y-1 and flushed to Y-3 / Y-4 before it stopped. And to the surprise of many, closed the week by rallying back to Y-0 and above midpoint.
Outlook
It was pretty messed up last week. I have been talking about a swing top to short into since 2 weeks ago. And now it flushed 200+ pips quickly and bounced all the way back. It will be difficult to position a swing short from here because there are many trapped shorts below B-0. All it takes is a nudge to Y+1 and a power short squeeze can be triggered.
Not going to participate on the long side this week. Will look for daytrading opportunities if a breakdown occurs flushing through B-0 quickly. If so will look for a drop to at least 90 even.
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