Recap As expected, ninja started weak and failed to clear even Y-1. That opened the door to Y-3. Flushed down to Y-3 and bounced. Closed the week below Y-1 and above midpoint.
Outlook The flush was partially a lucky drop (not that I am not happy) thanks to the problematic BOJ officials. At this point though, the bounce was a bear flag on 4 hours. It is quite bearish with Y-1 / B+1 strong resistance. First reaction there should lead to at least B-0 retest. A break of the bear flag support points to a drop to B-2.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
NQ dropped initially as expected but it failed to tag Y-2 and a forced FBO led to a quick run above Y+1. Yet, NQ could not stay above Y+1 ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Another week of consolidation as expected. Bear flag in beginning of the week drove the price down to Y-1 for a retest. W. spring formed and sent it back ...
USDJPY Oct 20 to Oct 24 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
As expected, ninja started weak and failed to clear even Y-1. That opened the door to Y-3. Flushed down to Y-3 and bounced. Closed the week below Y-1 and above midpoint.
Outlook
The flush was partially a lucky drop (not that I am not happy) thanks to the problematic BOJ officials. At this point though, the bounce was a bear flag on 4 hours. It is quite bearish with Y-1 / B+1 strong resistance. First reaction there should lead to at least B-0 retest. A break of the bear flag support points to a drop to B-2.
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